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Research only — not betting advice. A market-blind model (team Elo + xFIP & SIERA starting-pitcher ratings + season-to-date bullpen FIP + per-plate-appearance TrueSkill on-base ratings + lineup isolated-power + lineup baserunning) that never sees the odds. Data: Retrosheet (free of charge, copyrighted by Retrosheet, retrosheet.org) and the MLB Stats API (individual, non-commercial use); NFL data from nflverse (community-maintained).